Model Evaluations - Non finito

Why we need economists evaluations

10 rows / 4 distinct inputs

Steven E Landsburg's Why We Need Economists (discussion)


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Output

A politician claims that the oil companies are colluding to keep the price of gasoline high, and says that


they have been getting away with this because gasoline buyers are very insensitive to price. Does this


make sense?


The politician's claim involves two key aspects: collusion among oil companies and the price elasticity of demand for gasoline. Both elements should be analyzed to determine the validity of the statement.

  1. Collusion Among Oil Companies: Collusion refers to an agreement between firms to coordinate prices and output levels to maximize collective profits, typically at the expense of consumers. If oil companies are indeed colluding, it would be an illegal activity under antitrust laws in many jurisdictions because it reduces competition and leads to higher prices for consumers. Historically, there have been instances where companies or entities have been accused of such behavior, e.g., OPEC's price-fixing agreements on oil production.

  2. Price Insensitivity (Inelastic Demand) for Gasoline: The politician claims that gasoline buyers are very insensitive to price changes, which means the demand for gasoline is inelastic. In economic terms, when demand is inelastic, consumers do not significantly reduce their quantity demanded in response to price increases. This can often be observed with essential goods like gasoline, where consumers may have limited alternatives (e.g., electric vehicles, public transportation) and may still need to purchase gasoline despite higher prices.

Given inelastic demand, if oil companies were to collude and raise prices, consumers would absorb these price increases without substantially decreasing their gasoline consumption. This would allow the colluding firms to achieve higher profits without a significant loss in sales volume.

Conclusion:

The politician's claim does make sense from an economic perspective. If oil companies were colluding to keep prices high, and if the demand for gasoline is indeed inelastic as suggested, then consumers would continue to purchase gasoline despite the higher prices. This would enable oil companies to maintain elevated prices and profits without a proportionate decrease in sales.

However, it's important to substantiate claims of collusion with concrete evidence, as accusations of this nature can have serious legal and economic implications. Investigations by regulatory bodies would be necessary to determine if there is indeed collusive behavior taking place among oil companies.


A politician claims that the oil companies are colluding to keep the price of gasoline high, and says that


they have been getting away with this because gasoline buyers are very insensitive to price. Does this


make sense?


A controversy worthy of a political debate!

Let's break down the politician's claims and see if they hold water.

Claim 1: Oil companies collude to keep the price of gasoline high

This claim suggests that oil companies are engaging in anticompetitive behavior, such as price-fixing, to artificially inflate the price of gasoline. While it's true that oil companies have been accused of colluding in the past, there is limited evidence to support this claim in modern times. In the United States, for example, the oil industry is subject to antitrust laws and regulations, and allegations of price-fixing are thoroughly investigated by authorities.

Moreover, the oil market is a global market, and prices are influenced by a complex array of factors, including:

  1. Global supply and demand
  2. Production costs
  3. Transportation and refining costs
  4. Inventories and storage
  5. Speculation and market sentiment
  6. Government taxes and regulations
  7. Weather events and natural disasters

It's unlikely that oil companies could successfully collude to manipulate prices in such a complex and dynamic market.

Claim 2: Gasoline buyers are very insensitive to price

This claim suggests that consumers don't respond significantly to changes in gasoline prices, making it easier for oil companies to manipulate prices. However, this claim is also overstated.

While it's true that some consumers may not immediately change their behavior in response to small price changes, research has consistently shown that gasoline demand is indeed responsive to price. Studies have found that:

  1. A 10% increase in gasoline prices can lead to a 2-5% reduction in gasoline consumption.
  2. Higher-income households are more responsive to price changes than lower-income households.
  3. Long-term price changes can lead to more significant changes in consumer behavior, such as switching to more fuel-efficient vehicles or alternative modes of transportation.

Furthermore, the concept of price elasticity, which measures how responsive demand is to price changes, is well established in economics. Gasoline demand has been found to be relatively inelastic in the short term, but more elastic in the long term.

In conclusion, the politician's claims don't entirely hold up to scrutiny. While oil companies may not be perfect competitors, there is limited evidence to support the claim of widespread collusion to keep prices high. Additionally, gasoline buyers are not entirely insensitive to price, and their behavior can be influenced by changes in prices.


The town of Mayberry is thinking of expanding its airport. One problem with the expansion is that it


would result in more airplane noise. For people who live near the airport, hearing that noise would


cause as much unpleasantness as the collective loss of $100,000 every year. True or False: When


Mayberry weighs the costs and benefits of its airport expansion, that $100,000 should count as a cost.


True. When considering the expansion of the airport, Mayberry should take into account all relevant costs and benefits of the project. The $100,000 figure that represents the collective unpleasantness and loss of well-being for the people living near the airport due to increased noise pollution is an example of an external cost or negative externality. External costs are real costs to society and should be included in a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis to ensure that all impacts of the expansion are accurately assessed. This helps in making a more informed and equitable decision.


The town of Mayberry is thinking of expanding its airport. One problem with the expansion is that it


would result in more airplane noise. For people who live near the airport, hearing that noise would


cause as much unpleasantness as the collective loss of $100,000 every year. True or False: When


Mayberry weighs the costs and benefits of its airport expansion, that $100,000 should count as a cost.


True.

The $100,000 figure represents the negative externality caused by the airport expansion. A negative externality is a cost that affects a third party who did not choose to incur that cost. In this case, the people living near the airport would suffer from the increased noise pollution, which decreases their quality of life. This cost is not borne by the airport or the users of the airport directly.

When conducting a cost-benefit analysis, it is important to consider all costs and benefits, including externalities. The $100,000 in this case is a real cost, even if it does not represent an actual monetary transaction. It quantifies the negative impact on the residents near the airport.

If this cost is not included in the analysis, the true cost of the airport expansion would be underestimated, leading to a decision that might not be optimal for society as a whole. Therefore, the $100,000 should indeed be counted as a cost when weighing the costs and benefits of the airport expansion in Mayberry.


In the land of Nod, everyone is identical. Each day, 100 people wait in line each day to buy peanuts at a


controlled price. One day the government announces that henceforth it will provide a free cup of coffee


to each person in line. It costs the government $1 per cup to produce that coffee. The people in line


value the coffee at 75 cents per cup. What is the social cost of providing that free coffee?


The social cost of an action is the total cost to society. It often includes both the direct costs of providing a good or service and any externalities (positive or negative) that may arise. In this case, the good being provided is coffee.

Given that the government spends 1percupfor100people,thedirectcostofprovidingthecoffeeis1 per cup for 100 people, the direct cost of providing the coffee is 100 per day.

The people value the coffee at 75 cents per cup. Since utility or value is subjective and varies from person to person, in a scenario where everyone is identical (as is the case in the land of Nod), we assume each person assigns the same value to the coffee. Therefore, for 100 people, the total value they assign to the coffee is $75 (75 cents x 100 people).

However, when estimating social cost, we consider the cost of providing the service against the value it provides to recipients. Here, the government's expenditure (the actual cost) is 100,butthepeoplevalueitlessthanthat,atonly100, but the people value it less than that, at only 75 in total. The discrepancy does not directly factor into the calculation of social cost in conventional terms, which primarily concerns with cost to produce and externalities. Since the question does not mention any externalities (positive or negative impacts beyond the transaction between the government and the people), we would focus on the direct cost of production here.

Thus, the direct social cost of providing the coffee is the government's cost, which is 100.Theconsiderationthatpeoplevalueitlessdoesnttechnicallyreducethegovernmentsexpenditureorthedirectcostbutinsteadhighlightsapotentialinefficiencyormisallocationofresourceswherethecostexceedstheperceivedvalue.Nonetheless,intermsofcalculatingadirectsocialcosthere,its100. The consideration that people value it less doesn't technically reduce the government's expenditure or the direct cost but instead highlights a potential inefficiency or misallocation of resources where the cost exceeds the perceived value. Nonetheless, in terms of calculating a direct social cost here, it's 100 per day given the absence of mentioned externalities.


In the land of Nod, everyone is identical. Each day, 100 people wait in line each day to buy peanuts at a


controlled price. One day the government announces that henceforth it will provide a free cup of coffee


to each person in line. It costs the government $1 per cup to produce that coffee. The people in line


value the coffee at 75 cents per cup. What is the social cost of providing that free coffee?


Great question! To find the social cost of providing free coffee, we need to consider the cost to the government and the value that the people in line place on the coffee.

Given:

  • 100 people wait in line each day to buy peanuts.
  • The government provides a free cup of coffee to each person in line.
  • It costs the government $1 per cup to produce the coffee.
  • The people in line value the coffee at 75 cents per cup.

Step 1: Calculate the total cost to the government for providing the free coffee. Total cost to the government = Number of people in line × Cost per cup of coffee Total cost to the government = 100 × 1=1 = 100

Step 2: Calculate the total value of the coffee to the people in line. Total value to the people = Number of people in line × Value per cup of coffee Total value to the people = 100 × 0.75=0.75 = 75

Step 3: Calculate the social cost by subtracting the total value to the people from the total cost to the government. Social cost = Total cost to the government - Total value to the people Social cost = 100100 - 75 = $25

Therefore, the social cost of providing free coffee to the people in line is $25 per day.


Apples are provided by a competitive industry. Pears are provided by a monopolist. Coincidentally, they


sell at the same price. You are hungry, and would be equally happy with an apple or a pear. If you care


about conserving societal resources, which should you buy?


When considering the conservation of societal resources while choosing between products provided by a competitive industry and a monopolist, it is essential to understand how each market structure affects resource allocation and economic efficiency.

In a competitive market, like the one supplying apples, numerous firms are competing to sell their goods. This competition tends to push prices down to the level of the marginal cost of production, the cost of producing one more unit. In a perfectly competitive market, prices are set where supply equals demand, and the outcome is considered economically efficient. Economic efficiency in this context means that resources are allocated in a way that maximizes total surplus, ensuring that goods are produced by firms with the lowest costs and purchased by consumers who value them the most. The price reflects the true cost of using society's resources to produce the next unit of the good.

On the other hand, a monopolist, like the one providing pears, has market power and faces no competition. This allows the monopolist to set prices higher than the marginal cost. The monopolist maximizes profit by producing at the quantity where marginal revenue equals marginal cost but can charge a price higher than this cost due to the lack of competition. This results in a deadweight loss, an inefficiency where the benefit to society of additional transactions that could have occurred at a competitive price is lost. Specifically, fewer resources are allocated to producing the monopolized good than would be in a competitive market, and some consumers who value the product more than its marginal cost are priced out of the market.

Given these considerations, if you care about conserving societal resources, you should buy an apple, the product provided by the competitive industry. This choice supports a market structure that more efficiently allocates resources by minimizing waste and maximizing the utility derived from those resources. Choosing the apple over the pear under these conditions encourages production and consumption that more closely reflects the actual costs of using society's resources and avoids the deadweight loss associated with monopoly pricing.


Apples are provided by a competitive industry. Pears are provided by a monopolist. Coincidentally, they


sell at the same price. You are hungry, and would be equally happy with an apple or a pear. If you care


about conserving societal resources, which should you buy?


In this scenario, you should buy the apple.

Here's why:

  1. Competitive industry: Apples are provided by a competitive industry, which means that there are many producers, and each producer has little control over the market price. In a competitive market, producers are typically price takers and produce at a level where their marginal cost equals the market price. This leads to an efficient allocation of resources.

  2. Monopoly: Pears are provided by a monopolist, who has significant control over the market and can set prices. A monopolist usually sets prices higher than the marginal cost and produces less than the socially optimal quantity. This leads to a deadweight loss, which is an inefficient allocation of resources.

  3. Same price: Although both apples and pears are sold at the same price, the competitive industry (apples) is more likely to be producing at the socially optimal level, while the monopolist (pears) is likely producing below the socially optimal level.

  4. Conserving societal resources: If you care about conserving societal resources, you should choose the product that is produced more efficiently. In this case, the apple is the better choice because it is produced by a competitive industry, which is more likely to be allocating resources efficiently compared to the monopolist producing pears.

By choosing the apple, you are supporting the more efficient market structure and helping to conserve societal resources.


A politician claims that the oil companies are colluding to keep the price of gasoline high, and says that


they have been getting away with this because gasoline buyers are very insensitive to price. Does this


make sense?


The politician's claim touches on several economic concepts: collusion, price elasticity of demand, and market power. To break down whether the claim makes sense, let's explore these concepts.

Collusion

Collusion occurs when companies agree to act together instead of competing with one another, often leading to higher prices for consumers than would be found in a competitive market. For oil companies to collude successfully, they would need to control a significant portion of the market to influence prices effectively. This behavior is illegal in many jurisdictions and is regulated against by antitrust laws in places like the United States and the European Union.

Price Elasticity of Demand

Price elasticity of demand refers to how sensitive the quantity demanded of a good is to a change in its price. If buyers are "very insensitive to price," as the politician claims, this means that the demand for gasoline is price inelastic. This is logical for goods with few or no close substitutes, like gasoline, where consumers may need to purchase roughly the same amount regardless of price changes in the short term. In the long term, however, consumers might adapt by choosing more fuel-efficient vehicles, using alternative forms of transportation, or reducing travel, thereby potentially increasing price sensitivity.

Does The Claim Make Sense?

  1. Collusion and High Prices: If oil companies were colluding to keep gasoline prices artificially high, they would be taking advantage of the inelastic demand for gasoline. Since consumers have limited immediate alternatives, they continue purchasing gasoline even at higher prices, potentially allowing oil companies to sustain such inflated prices.

  2. Consumer Sensitivity and Market Response: Suggesting that gas buyers are very insensitive to price partially supports the feasibility of collusion. However, this insensitivity isn't absolute or uniform across all consumers and can change over time, especially as prices reach a threshold that pushes consumers to seek alternatives more aggressively.

  3. Regulatory Environment: The viability of such collusion also heavily depends on the regulatory environment. Vigilant regulatory authorities equipped with strong antitrust laws can investigate and dismantle such collusive arrangements, imposing fines or taking other actions to restore competitive market conditions.

  4. External Factors: It's crucial to consider external factors like geopolitical events, changes in global supply and demand, and environmental policies that can also significantly affect oil prices. These factors might help explain high gasoline prices without needing to assume collusion.

In summary, while the politician's claim could have a basis in understanding economic principles, it simplifies a highly complex issue. The notion that oil companies can collude to keep prices high is plausible but requires evidence of such collusion. Moreover, it overlooks the broader context of what influences gasoline prices, including market dynamics, regulatory frameworks, and external factors.


A politician claims that the oil companies are colluding to keep the price of gasoline high, and says that


they have been getting away with this because gasoline buyers are very insensitive to price. Does this


make sense?


The politician's claim does not entirely make sense from an economic perspective. Let's break down the reasoning:

  1. Price collusion: If oil companies were colluding to keep gasoline prices high, it would be an illegal practice known as price fixing. In a competitive market, each company has an incentive to lower prices to attract more customers and gain market share. Collusion would require a secret agreement among all major oil companies, which is difficult to maintain and illegal under antitrust laws.

  2. Price insensitivity: The politician suggests that oil companies can maintain high prices because consumers are insensitive to gasoline prices. However, economic theory suggests that if consumers were truly insensitive to price changes, companies would have an even greater incentive to lower prices and capture more market share. Insensitivity to price means that consumers would buy the same amount of gasoline regardless of price, so lowering prices would lead to higher sales without losing revenue per unit.

  3. Elasticity of demand: In reality, gasoline demand is relatively inelastic in the short run, meaning that price changes have a relatively small effect on the quantity demanded. This is because many consumers rely on gasoline for daily activities and have few immediate alternatives. However, gasoline demand is more elastic in the long run, as consumers can adapt by buying more fuel-efficient vehicles, using public transportation, or changing their driving habits.

In conclusion, while gasoline demand may be relatively inelastic in the short run, the politician's claim about price collusion and consumer insensitivity to prices does not align with economic principles. High gasoline prices are more likely the result of complex factors such as global oil prices, supply and demand, taxes, and production costs, rather than illegal collusion among oil companies.


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